NFL 2021 Playoff Picture: Here are the 14 projected playoff teams with Eagles and Colts sneaking in

With just four weeks left to play in the season, you'd think that the NFL playoff picture would be clearing up at this point, but instead, it's somehow gotten more confusing. 

Heading into Week 15, all 14 playoff berths are still up for grabs, which marks just the third time since 1978 that we haven't seen a single team clinch a playoff berth through 14 weeks. 

In the AFC, not only are there three teams tied at 9-4 who are all battling for the top seed, but the wild card race is even crazier with five teams sitting at 7-6, including the current sixth and seventh seeds (Colts and Bills). 

In the NFC, we have the same situation, there are three teams battling for the top seed who all currently have the same record while there are also five teams sitting at 6-7, including the team that currently holds the seventh-seed (Washington).

To help you make sense of all the chaos, we're going to project the 14 teams that are going to make the playoffs. The projections are based on data from number-cruncher Stephen Oh of SportsLine.com. Oh plugged some numbers into his SportsLine computer and simulated the rest of the NFL season, and using those numbers, not only were we able to figure out the playoff chances for every team, but we're also going to project the entire playoff field. 

With that in mind, let's get to this week's playoff projections. Actually, before we do that, here's a mock draft that Texans, Jets, Lions and Jaguars fans might want to read. Those four teams have officially been eliminated and if you're a fan of one of those four teams, a mock draft will probably be much more exciting to read than this projection. 

As for everyone else, let's get to the projection. 

Note: Remember, this is a projection based on how we think the rest of the regular season will play out. If you want to see the current playoff standings, be sure to click here. For a breakdown of the current playoff picture, be sure to click here. SportsLine simulates every game leading up to the playoffs 10,000 times, and you can see the model's picks both straight up and against the spread here.

AFC Playoff Projection

1. AFC East Champion	Patriots
It's the Super Bowl everyone wants and now, the computer is willing it into existence. For the first time all year, the computer is projecting a Buccaneers-Patriots Super Bowl. The Patriots currently have a 29.54% chance of winning the AFC, which is the highest in the conference by far. The next closest team is the Chiefs, who are being given a 21.77% chance.
2. AFC West Champion	Chiefs
The computer isn't quite ready to hand the AFC West over to the Chiefs, but it's getting close. According to SportsLine, the Chiefs have a 63.9% chance of winning the division, which is almost double the Chargerschances (34.8%). That should tell you everything you need to know about who the computer is picking their Thursday night showdown.
3. AFC West Champion	Titans
Even without Derek Henry, the computer feels that the Titans are a lock to win the AFC South crown and that's mostly because they only need two more wins to clinch the title. The Titans have a 96.1% chance of winning the division and they could clinch it as as soon as this weekend if the Colts lose (to the Patriots) and they beat the Steelers.
4. AFC North Champion	Ravens
Despite losing for the second straight week, the Ravens are STILL viewed as the favorite to win the AFC North and it's not even really that close. According to SportsLine, the Ravens have a 45.2% chance of winning the division, which is 20% more than the next closest team. The Bengals (24%), Browns (21.3%) and Steelers (9.5%) all have a shot at winning it, but the computer doesn't like their chances.
5. Wild Card 1	Chargers
As the only wild card contender with eight wins, the computer loves the Chargers chances of making the playoffs. Heading into Week 15, the Chargers have an 85% chance of getting in, which means they're likely headed to the playoffs for the first time since 2018 as long as they don't Charger things up over the final four weeks.
6. Wild Card 2	Bills
The Bills might be on a two-game losing streak, but the computer isn't really holding it against them and that's because they've lost to two good teams (Patriots, Buccaneers). Despite those losses, the Bills are being given a 70.7% chance of making the playoffs, which is actually higher than the Ravens number right now (67.2%), which either tells you the computer loves the Bills or just isn't so sure about the AFC North.
7. Wild Card 3	Colts
The computer thinks the race for the final playoff spot in the AFC is down to three teams: the Colts, Bengals and Browns. Unfortunately for the Ohio teams, the computer doesn't think it's going to be much of a race. According to SportsLine, the Colts have a 66.4% chance of making the playoffs while the Bengals are sitting at just 36.5% with the Browns trailing right behind them (31.3%).

Here's a list of the playoff chances for all the other AFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Bengals (36.5%), Browns (31.3%), Broncos (19.8%), Steelers (18.6%), Raiders (7.1%),  Dolphins (2.9%), Jaguars (ELIMINATED), Jets (ELIMINATED), Texans (ELIMINATED). 

NFC Playoff Projection

1. NFC South Champion	Buccaneers
The Buccaneers finished the 2020 season on top of the NFL and now, the computer has them back on top in 2021. According to SportsLine, the Buccaneers are now the overall favorite to win the Super Bowl this year. Tampa Bay has a 15.15% chance of winning it all. The next four closest teams are the Patriots (14.53%), Cardinals (12.26%), Chiefs (12.17%) and Packers(10.98%).
2. NFC North Champion	Packers
Although the computer is projecting the Packers to earn the second seed in the NFC, it still seems to like the Cardinals slightly better. The Packers have a 21.25% chance of being the Super Bowl team out of the NFC, which is a hair lower than Arizona's (21.97%).
3. NFC West Champion	Cardinals
Although the Cardinals are no longer being projected to earn the top seed in the NFC, they are still being projected to handily win the NFC West. Despite the loss to the Rams, the Cards are still being given an 81.5% chance of winning the division, which is more than four times higher than the chances being given to L.A. (18.4%).
4. NFC East Champion	Cowboys
Thanks to their win over Washington on Sunday, the computer thinks the Cowboys have basically wrapped up the NFC East. Going into Week 14, they had a 79.9% chance of winning the division, but that has now shot up to 94.2% following their 27-20 win.
5. Wild Card 1	Rams
The computer doesn't think the Rams have a shot of winning the NFC West, but it does view them as a lock for the playoffs. According to SportsLine, the Rams have a 99.9% chance of getting in. To put that in perspective, it's a higher chance than three of the four current division leaders in the AFC.
6. Wild Card 2	49ers
The biggest winner of Week 14 might have been the San Francisco 49ers. Thanks to their win over the Bengals, the computer is now giving them a 79.5% chance of making the playoffs, which means we might see three NFC West teams get in. That would mark just the second time since 2010 that an NFC division has put three teams in (2018, NFC South).
7. Wild Card 3	Eagles
If the computer breaks before the end of the season, it's going to be trying to figure out who's getting the final wild-card spot in the NFC. According to SportsLine, the race is down to the Eagles, Saints, Vikings and Washington. Right now, the Eagles are the heavy favorite though. The Eagles currently have a 40.9% chance of getting in, which is well ahead of New Orleans, (25.6%), Minnesota (21.1%) and Washington (19.8%).

Here's a list of the playoff chances for all the other NFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Saints (25.6%), Vikings (21.1%), Washington (19.8%), Falcons (10.9%), Seahawks (2.4%), Giants (0.4%), Panthers (0.3%), Bears(0.0%), Lions (ELIMINATED). 

Wild-card round projection

AFC

(7) Colts at (2) Chiefs
(6) Bills at (3) Titans
(5) Chargers at (4) Ravens

Bye: Patriots

NFC 

(7) Eagles at (2) Packers
(6) 49ers at (3) Cardinals
(5) Rams at (4) Cowboys

Bye: Buccaneers

Which NFL picks can you make with confidence this week, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,000 since its inception. 

1. AFC East Champion

 

Patriots

It's the Super Bowl everyone wants and now, the computer is willing it into existence. For the first time all year, the computer is projecting a Buccaneers-Patriots Super Bowl. The Patriots currently have a 29.54% chance of winning the AFC, which is the highest in the conference by far. The next closest team is the Chiefs, who are being given a 21.77% chance.  

2. AFC West Champion

 

Chiefs

The computer isn't quite ready to hand the AFC West over to the Chiefs, but it's getting close. According to SportsLine, the Chiefs have a 63.9% chance of winning the division, which is almost double the Chargerschances (34.8%). That should tell you everything you need to know about who the computer is picking their Thursday night showdown. 

3. AFC West Champion

 

Titans

Even without Derek Henry, the computer feels that the Titans are a lock to win the AFC South crown and that's mostly because they only need two more wins to clinch the title. The Titans have a 96.1% chance of winning the division and they could clinch it as as soon as this weekend if the Colts lose (to the Patriots) and they beat the Steelers.  

4. AFC North Champion

 

Ravens

Despite losing for the second straight week, the Ravens are STILL viewed as the favorite to win the AFC North and it's not even really that close. According to SportsLine, the Ravens have a 45.2% chance of winning the division, which is 20% more than the next closest team. The Bengals (24%), Browns (21.3%) and Steelers (9.5%) all have a shot at winning it, but the computer doesn't like their chances.   

5. Wild Card 1

 

Chargers

As the only wild card contender with eight wins, the computer loves the Chargers chances of making the playoffs. Heading into Week 15, the Chargers have an 85% chance of getting in, which means they're likely headed to the playoffs for the first time since 2018 as long as they don't Charger things up over the final four weeks. 

6. Wild Card 2

 

Bills

The Bills might be on a two-game losing streak, but the computer isn't really holding it against them and that's because they've lost to two good teams (Patriots, Buccaneers). Despite those losses, the Bills are being given a 70.7% chance of making the playoffs, which is actually higher than the Ravens number right now (67.2%), which either tells you the computer loves the Bills or just isn't so sure about the AFC North. 

7. Wild Card 3

 

Colts

The computer thinks the race for the final playoff spot in the AFC is down to three teams: the Colts, Bengals and Browns. Unfortunately for the Ohio teams, the computer doesn't think it's going to be much of a race. According to SportsLine, the Colts have a 66.4% chance of making the playoffs while the Bengals are sitting at just 36.5% with the Browns trailing right behind them (31.3%).

1. NFC South Champion

 

Buccaneers

The Buccaneers finished the 2020 season on top of the NFL and now, the computer has them back on top in 2021. According to SportsLine, the Buccaneers are now the overall favorite to win the Super Bowl this year. Tampa Bay has a 15.15% chance of winning it all. The next four closest teams are the Patriots (14.53%), Cardinals (12.26%), Chiefs (12.17%) and Packers(10.98%).  

2. NFC North Champion

 

Packers

Although the computer is projecting the Packers to earn the second seed in the NFC, it still seems to like the Cardinals slightly better. The Packers have a 21.25% chance of being the Super Bowl team out of the NFC, which is a hair lower than Arizona's (21.97%).

3. NFC West Champion

 

Cardinals

Although the Cardinals are no longer being projected to earn the top seed in the NFC, they are still being projected to handily win the NFC West. Despite the loss to the Rams, the Cards are still being given an 81.5% chance of winning the division, which is more than four times higher than the chances being given to L.A. (18.4%).  

4. NFC East Champion

 

Cowboys

Thanks to their win over Washington on Sunday, the computer thinks the Cowboys have basically wrapped up the NFC East. Going into Week 14, they had a 79.9% chance of winning the division, but that has now shot up to 94.2% following their 27-20 win. 

5. Wild Card 1

 

Rams

The computer doesn't think the Rams have a shot of winning the NFC West, but it does view them as a lock for the playoffs. According to SportsLine, the Rams have a 99.9% chance of getting in. To put that in perspective, it's a higher chance than three of the four current division leaders in the AFC.     

6. Wild Card 2

 

49ers

The biggest winner of Week 14 might have been the San Francisco 49ers. Thanks to their win over the Bengals, the computer is now giving them a 79.5% chance of making the playoffs, which means we might see three NFC West teams get in. That would mark just the second time since 2010 that an NFC division has put three teams in (2018, NFC South).  

7. Wild Card 3

 

Eagles

If the computer breaks before the end of the season, it's going to be trying to figure out who's getting the final wild-card spot in the NFC. According to SportsLine, the race is down to the Eagles, Saints, Vikings and Washington. Right now, the Eagles are the heavy favorite though. The Eagles currently have a 40.9% chance of getting in, which is well ahead of New Orleans, (25.6%), Minnesota (21.1%) and Washington (19.8%). 

 

2 young children rescued, kidnapping suspect in custody after chase ends in South LA

Two young children were rescued and a kidnapping suspect was taken into custody after a chase in the South Los Angeles area Tuesday evening.

AIR7 HD was over the pursuit shortly before 9 p.m. as multiple LAPD vehicles were chasing the white SUV while the two children were inside.

The suspect then drove to a residential neighborhood in South L.A. and parked in a driveway near an alley in the 200 block of East 95th Street. At that point, a standoff began and police later closed in on the SUV.

During the standoff, the suspect exited and re-entered the SUV several times before LAPD officers advanced.

Two children - ages 1 and 5 - were removed from the vehicle by officers. They were unharmed.

Police say the kidnapping suspect was being followed by a person who reported the incident until officers arrived.

The suspect surrendered without incident. His relationship to the children is unknown.

LAPD said the pursuit started around 8:20 p.m. and went through freeways and surface streets.

 

Ex-Police Captain Indicted for Holding Man at Gunpoint Under False Belief That ‘Hispanic Children’ Signed 750,000 Fake Ballots

A former police captain with the Houston Police Department was indicted on Tuesday for allegedly holding an innocent AC repairman at gunpoint over a baseless voter fraud claim that Hispanic children were signing ballots. Mark Anthony Aguirre, 64, faces a count of aggravated assault with a deadly weapon, records show.

“According to Aguirre, he had been conducting surveillance on the victim for four days under a theory the victim was the mastermind of a giant fraud, and there were 750,000 fraudulent ballots in a truck he was driving,” the Office of the Harris County District Attorney said. “Instead, the victim turned out to be an innocent and ordinary air conditioner repairman.”

Aguirre rammed his SUV into the back of the victim’s truck to force him to stop in the Oct. 19, 2020 incident, prosecutors said. The repairman stepped out, but Aguirre pointed a gun at him, forced him to the ground, and put a knee on the man’s back, authorities said.

There were no ballots in the truck — only air conditioning parts and tools, the D.A.’s office said.

Aguirre got $266,400 from the right-wing group Liberty Center for God and Country to do his work, authorities said.

“He crossed the line from dirty politics to commission of a violent crime and we are lucky no one was killed,” Harris County District Attorney Kim Ogg (D) said. “His alleged investigation was backward from the start – first alleging a crime had occurred and then trying to prove it happened.”

The repairman David Lopez-Zuniga sued right-wing activist Dr. Steven Hotze in March, blaming him for funding and directing Aguirre’s actions.

“Dr. Hotze financed a project to investigate allegations of voter fraud,” Hotze attorney Jared Woodfill told KTRK. “What an independent contractor chooses to do is not Dr. Hotze’s responsibility any more than if you or I were to hire an investigator or a contractor to do something for us and while doing it, they did something inappropriate.”

Aguirre was fired from the Houston Police Department in 2003 for his role in a street-racing raid where 278 people were arrested.

 

Grammy-winning singer Billie Eilish says she began watching porn at age 11, gravitating to violent videos that warped her perspective on healthy sex.

The "Bad Guy" singer said violent sex videos warped her perspective on healthy relationships.

 Grammy-winning singer Billie Eilish says she began watching porn at age 11, gravitating to violent videos that warped her perspective on healthy sex.

In a revealing interview on “The Howard Stern Show” on Monday, the “Bad Guy” pop star explained how porn “destroyed my brain.”

“I used to watch a lot of porn, to be honest. I started watching porn when I was like 11,” said Eilish, who turns 20 on Saturday. “I thought that’s how you learned how to have sex. I was watching abusive porn, to be honest, when I was like 14.”

“I think it really destroyed my brain and I feel incredibly devastated that I was exposed to so much porn,” she continued, attributing it to her sleep paralysis and night terrors.

Her obsession with extreme content spiraled. “I couldn’t watch anything else. Unless it was violent, I didn’t think it was attractive.”

There were consequences, she said.

“I was a virgin,” Eilish said. “I had never done anything. And so, it led to problems. The first few times I had sex, I was not saying no to things that were not good. And it’s because I thought that’s what I was supposed to be attracted to.”

“I’m so angry that porn is so loved,” she added.

Many children begin watching porn when Eilish did, Brad Salzman, founder of the New York Sexual Addiction Center, told the New York Post.

“Parents aren’t paying attention and it [porn exposure] can affect them for the rest of their lives,” Salzman said. “It totally colors their perception of what normal sexuality is supposed to look like and it changes the way they think that they’re supposed to interact. They can begin seeing other people as sex objects as opposed to human beings.”